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Disclaimer
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CONFIDENCE: COping with uNcertainties For Improved modelling and DEcision making in Nuclear emergenCiEs
Research project as part of the H2020 grant agreement 662287 - CONCERT
Nature and scope of the project
The H2020 CONFIDENCE Project aims to close existing gaps
in several areas of emergency management and long-term
rehabilitation. It concentrates on the early and transition
phases of an emergency, but considers also longer-term
decisions made during these phases. The project brings
together expertise from all four Radiation Protection
Platforms and also from Social Sciences and Humanities,
such that it can address the scientific challenges
associated with model uncertainties and improve
radioecological predictions and emergency management (NERIS and
ALLIANCE), situation awareness and monitoring strategies
(EURADOS), risk estimation in the early phase (MELODI),
decision making and strategy development at local and
national levels (NERIS) including social and ethical
aspects (Social Sciences and Humanities).
Activities
The work-programme of CONFIDENCE is defined to understand,
reduce and cope with the uncertainty of meteorological and
radiological data and their further propagation in decision
support systems, including atmospheric dispersion, dose
estimation, foodchain modelling and countermeasure simulations
models. Consideration of social, ethical and communication
aspects related to uncertainties is a key aspect of the project
activities. Improvements in modelling and combining simulation
with monitoring will help gaining a more comprehensive picture
of the radiological situation and will clearly improve decision
making under uncertainties. Decision making principles and methods
will be investigated, ranging from formal decision aiding
techniques to simulation based approaches. These will be
demonstrated and tested in stakeholder workshops applying the
simulation tools developed within CONFIDENCE. A comprehensive
education and training programme is fully linked with the research
activities.
As the engagement with potential end users is also a key for success,
the four European platforms MELODI, EURADOS, NERIS and ALLIANCE
will be informed about the progress of the work. Further to this,
the chair of the NERIS platform is a contractor. With the
involvement of end users from the ARGOS and RODOS community,
all European Member States, Associated States and even countries
outside Europe are part of the dissemination and communication
network of the project.
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